Antifragile Thinking

Antifragile Thinking

The Measuring Stick

An Unseen Framework for Separating Possibility from Proof

Sajal Kapoor's avatar
Sajal Kapoor
Jun 07, 2026
∙ Paid

The illustrations over the coming days and weeks will be based on this framework.

Every company note is ultimately an attempt to answer two questions:

How much evidence already exists?

And how wrong could the market be?

The purpose of this essay is to explain the framework itself before applying it to individual businesses.

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