When you get an opportunity please share on how you see Max India as a long term opportunity or not on the India aging population and healthcare needs and your views on the management and business. They recently released their results.
Max India as I keep saying is a 10 year plus kind of opportunity but don't expect a positive PAT anytime soon. It's a unique business as Indian cross 55 and 60 in large volumes.
I will probably do a 60 seconds audio on all the 30 names. The framework is same but then every chemical, CDMO business is so unique that we can never call these pockets as sectors like some of the other. Randomness and volatility will always harm the fragile and we have to learn to live in this random world. Lumpiness and randomness will only increase in future :)
Not have had the time for deeper dive, but Tatva Chintan's gross margins never collapsed, even in tough times and that's a good sign. See my template is heavy on randomness and promoter/management quality (99% of terminal value is always there in my view).
Great agility sir, looking to learn slowly. Missed the post on X, as I started following only on Substack now.
While BlissGVS is not at Point A currently, I got confidence it's still a great asset to own for 3-5 year horizon. Hope the thesis remained intact from your analysis as well. Thanks 👍
It's a cyclical industry, so some stocks will go from point A to point B in 1 year, and others will take 5-7 years; GMP chemicals are difficult to master and make; non-GMP are easier; The level of randomness in the industry is extremely high, so it's advisable to invest in only one or two stocks and avoid placing large bets if you haven't read the annual reports and transcripts of the previous years (5 years plus). Failure to do so can lead to big accidents. I keep sharing names in my presentations to help embed the framework.
Sir I still want to know what do you mean when you said Laurus will surprise the bulls. You said it will be covered in part 2A/B. If you can address it in numbers. What mcap are you expecting?
Hello sir, would love a 60 seconds view on Deepak Nitrite's Q3. Margins have taken a hit. Even if you do it after their earnings call, it's well appreciated as you're anyway giving us so much of your time. Thanks!
Avoid what you don't understand; Valuation masterclasses will take another 8-10 months to complete; there's is no short cut and I will never recommend stock specific trades on this channel please.
Amazing ROTI💯, fun way of educating helps us understand better. Thanks sir 🙌🏼
Bajaj is real CDMO or not ji..
Bajaj Electricals is FMEG
Ha..hmm..
Thank you sir for keep it open
YouTube is all open my friend. Will do a free session there with Prince next month.
When you get an opportunity please share on how you see Max India as a long term opportunity or not on the India aging population and healthcare needs and your views on the management and business. They recently released their results.
Max India as I keep saying is a 10 year plus kind of opportunity but don't expect a positive PAT anytime soon. It's a unique business as Indian cross 55 and 60 in large volumes.
Sir could you please analyse Q3 results of Emcure pharma
Noted. I will probably do a 60 seconds audio on all the 30 names.
This is great analysis 🔥
Tatva and Clean Science also.
I will probably do a 60 seconds audio on all the 30 names. The framework is same but then every chemical, CDMO business is so unique that we can never call these pockets as sectors like some of the other. Randomness and volatility will always harm the fragile and we have to learn to live in this random world. Lumpiness and randomness will only increase in future :)
Sir, would love your comments on Tatva Chintan results. The management seemed upbeat this time.
Not have had the time for deeper dive, but Tatva Chintan's gross margins never collapsed, even in tough times and that's a good sign. See my template is heavy on randomness and promoter/management quality (99% of terminal value is always there in my view).
Missed the note on reducing exposure to Bliss. Can someone share that post link again. Thanks!
https://x.com/unseenvalue/status/1887124796015616292
Bliss was 162 odd then
Great agility sir, looking to learn slowly. Missed the post on X, as I started following only on Substack now.
While BlissGVS is not at Point A currently, I got confidence it's still a great asset to own for 3-5 year horizon. Hope the thesis remained intact from your analysis as well. Thanks 👍
Thanks a lot sir... 👍
Sir you tweeted about about couple of chemical stories near Point A, which one are these and are you making a presentation this sir. thanks
It's a cyclical industry, so some stocks will go from point A to point B in 1 year, and others will take 5-7 years; GMP chemicals are difficult to master and make; non-GMP are easier; The level of randomness in the industry is extremely high, so it's advisable to invest in only one or two stocks and avoid placing large bets if you haven't read the annual reports and transcripts of the previous years (5 years plus). Failure to do so can lead to big accidents. I keep sharing names in my presentations to help embed the framework.
Sir I still want to know what do you mean when you said Laurus will surprise the bulls. You said it will be covered in part 2A/B. If you can address it in numbers. What mcap are you expecting?
Expectations - Actual = Happiness. Aim low :)
Hello sir, would love a 60 seconds view on Deepak Nitrite's Q3. Margins have taken a hit. Even if you do it after their earnings call, it's well appreciated as you're anyway giving us so much of your time. Thanks!
Weak numbers (weaker than expected, but that's randomness). Read my FY25 outlook here - https://antifragilethinking.substack.com/p/3q-fy25-kopran-and-deepak-nitrite
Sir Syngene's PE still above 50, what's your thought? Thank you🙏
Avoid what you don't understand; Valuation masterclasses will take another 8-10 months to complete; there's is no short cut and I will never recommend stock specific trades on this channel please.
Can anybody help me with subscription
Hi Sir,
How do you look at Bodal Chemicals ?
Results are not that great but they are expanding into Benzene derivatives so do you think future will be good from here ?
They have closed some of the non performing businesses.
Valuation wise looks cheap also.